Will Donald Trump say “Endorse / Endorsement”?
As of Oct 27, 2026, Donald Trump said “Endorse / Endorsement” at 5 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Feb 28, 2026 (100%), most recently on Aug 24, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 60% (n=5, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 rallies we have transcripts for (Aug 24, 2026 – Oct 25, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 6. 1 later rally without a transcript yet (Oct 26, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 5/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 5 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Endorse / Endorsement
- Probability
- 60% · n=5
- Settled
- 5/5 (100%)
- Last 8 rallies
- said in 6 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…little bit of a rally and I did a lot of an endorsement and we got him down to below 50%. So, now there was…
…like I do. And Byron was one of the first people to endorse me in 2025. I'm telling you, when I announced, he was like…
…been my fan and my we love Brena right such an early endorsement and again I want to thank Chuck Grassley has been great I…
Are you going to endorse the French --
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 5 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Endorse / Endorsement |  Kalshi | Yes | 2 |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Endorse / Endorsement | Kalshi | Yes | 1 |
| Jun 25, 2026 | Endorse / Endorsement |  Polymarket | Yes | 1 |
| Mar 15, 2026 | Endorse / Endorsement | Polymarket | Yes | – (settled yes · not found in what we could read (the post archive does not cover the window)) |
| Feb 28, 2026 | Endorse / Endorsement | Kalshi | Yes | – |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Endorse / Endorsement”?
- As of Oct 27, 2026, Donald Trump said “Endorse / Endorsement” at 5 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Feb 28, 2026 (100%), most recently on Aug 24, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Endorse / Endorsement” next time?
- 60%, from settlement history (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Endorse / Endorsement’ mention history”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/endorse-or-endorsement (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=endorse%20%2F%20endorsement · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP