Will Donald Trump say “Radical Left”?

As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Radical Left” at 56 of 113 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Sep 8, 2025 (50%), most recently on Oct 15, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 48% (n=113, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 8 rallies we have transcripts for (Aug 10, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 6.

48%from settlement history only · n=113counts: named speaker only
Last 10
7/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes no yes no yes yes no yes
Streak
said last time
Counts
named speaker only
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Where it was said

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Donald Trump

Radical Left

Probability
48% · n=113
Settled
56/113 (50%)
Last 8 rallies
said in 6 of 8

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Donald TrumpspeakerDonald Trump: Midterm Rally in Florida · Oct 23, 2026 · 4:26In transcript

…Moody to the United States Senate. And we're going to defeat the radical left Democrats all across the country. And we're going to win a…

Donald TrumpspeakerDonald Trump: Midterm Rally in Iowa · Oct 22, 2026 · 6:49In transcript

…warrior, a patriot, and she will never let far-left maniacs push the radical left insanity on Iowa's children. She's I've known her for a long…

Donald TrumpspeakerDonald Trump: Midterm Rally in South Carolina · Oct 21, 2026 · 9:20In transcript

…enforcement and I'm with the law enforcement. But Darlene's running against a radical left lunatic named Annie Andrews, who would be the most extreme and…

Donald TrumpspeakerDonald Trump: Announcement · Oct 20, 2026 · 39:41In transcript

…stop taxpayers from being ripped off is a direct threat to the radical left's effort to turn America into a third world country ruled by…

What will Trump say during his rally in Florida? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in Iowa? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his roundtable? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in South Carolina? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his announcement? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in North Carolina? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his announcement? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in Kansas? · not listed

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What will Trump say this week? (October 12 - October 18) · not listed

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What will Trump post this week? (October 12 - October 18) · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 60 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Oct 15, 2026Radical LeftKalshiYes–
Sep 29, 2026Radical LeftPolymarketNo–
Sep 29, 2026Radical LeftKalshiNo–
Sep 17, 2026Radical LeftKalshiYes2
Sep 17, 2026Radical LeftKalshiYes–
Sep 17, 2026Radical LeftKalshiNo0
Sep 12, 2026Radical LeftKalshiNo0
Sep 11, 2026Radical LeftKalshiYes–
Sep 10, 2026Radical LeftPolymarketYes3
Sep 10, 2026Radical LeftPolymarketYes1
Sep 10, 2026Radical LeftKalshiYes1
Sep 10, 2026Radical LeftKalshiYes–
Sep 10, 2026Radical LeftKalshiYes3
Sep 9, 2026Radical LeftPolymarketYes13
Sep 9, 2026Radical LeftKalshiYes13
Sep 8, 2026Radical LeftKalshiNo0
Aug 24, 2026Radical LeftKalshiNo0
Aug 24, 2026Radical LeftKalshiYes1
Aug 24, 2026Radical LeftKalshiYes–
Aug 21, 2026Radical LeftKalshiYes9
Aug 20, 2026Radical LeftKalshiVoid (did not qualify)–
Aug 14, 2026Radical LeftKalshiYes5
Aug 13, 2026Radical LeftKalshiYes–
Aug 10, 2026Radical LeftPolymarketNo0
Aug 10, 2026Radical LeftKalshiNo0
Aug 10, 2026Radical LeftKalshiNo0
Aug 7, 2026Radical LeftPolymarketNo0
Aug 6, 2026Radical LeftKalshiNo0
Aug 5, 2026Radical LeftKalshiYes3
Aug 3, 2026Radical LeftKalshiYes1
Jul 31, 2026Radical LeftKalshiNo0
Jul 30, 2026Radical LeftKalshiYes2
Jul 29, 2026Radical LeftKalshiNo0
Jul 29, 2026Radical LeftKalshiNo0
Jul 28, 2026Radical LeftPolymarketNo0
Jul 28, 2026Radical LeftKalshiVoid (did not qualify)–
Jul 28, 2026Radical LeftKalshiVoid (did not qualify)–
Jul 28, 2026Radical LeftKalshiNo0
Jul 27, 2026Radical LeftKalshiYes3
Jul 24, 2026Radical LeftPolymarketNo0
Jul 24, 2026Radical LeftKalshiNo0
Jul 24, 2026Radical LeftKalshiNo0
Jul 23, 2026Radical LeftPolymarketYes3
Jul 23, 2026Radical LeftKalshiYes3
Jul 22, 2026Radical LeftKalshiYes2
Jul 16, 2026Radical LeftKalshiYes1
Jul 4, 2026Radical LeftKalshiNo–
Jul 3, 2026Radical LeftKalshiNo0
Jul 1, 2026Radical LeftKalshiNo–
Jun 26, 2026Radical LeftKalshiYes2
Jun 24, 2026Radical LeftKalshiNo–
Jun 11, 2026Radical LeftPolymarketYes–
Jun 10, 2026Radical LeftKalshiYes4
May 22, 2026Radical LeftPolymarketYes–
May 18, 2026Radical LeftKalshiNo–
May 4, 2026Radical LeftPolymarketYes–
May 3, 2026Radical LeftPolymarketYes– (settled yes · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet))
Apr 30, 2026Radical LeftKalshiNo–
Apr 26, 2026Radical LeftKalshiNo–
Apr 20, 2026Radical LeftKalshiYes–

Questions

How often does Donald Trump say “Radical Left”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Radical Left” at 56 of 113 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Sep 8, 2025 (50%), most recently on Oct 15, 2026.
What is the probability Donald Trump says “Radical Left” next time?
48%, from settlement history (n=113). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Radical Left’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/radical-left (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=radical%20left · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP