Will Donald Trump say “McDonald's / McDonald”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “McDonald's / McDonald” at 17 of 35 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Sep 4, 2024 (49%), most recently on Apr 16, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 33% (n=35, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 21, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1.
- Last 10
- 1/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no yes no no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 4 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
McDonald's / McDonald
- Probability
- 33% · n=35
- Settled
- 17/35 (49%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 1 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…this. We created the National Fraud Division at DOJ, led by Colin McDonald, who's done a wonderful job. They've already been getting huge results for…
Every settled listing
newest first · 35 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | McDonald's / McDonald |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
| May 11, 2026 | McDonald / McDonald's | Kalshi | No | – |
| Apr 21, 2026 | McDonald / McDonald's | Kalshi | No | – |
| Apr 17, 2026 | McDonald / McDonald's | Kalshi | No | – |
| Apr 16, 2026 | McDonald / McDonalds | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Mar 17, 2026 | McDonald's / McDonald | Kalshi | No | – |
| Jan 31, 2026 | McDonald's |  Polymarket | No | 0 |
| Oct 1, 2025 | McDonald’s | Kalshi | No | – (settled no · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window)) |
| Apr 18, 2025 | McDonald's | Polymarket | No | – (settled no · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet)) |
| Mar 4, 2025 | McDonald | Kalshi | No | – |
| Feb 20, 2025 | McDonald's | Kalshi | No | – |
| Jan 20, 2025 | McDonald's | Polymarket | No | – |
| Jan 19, 2025 | McDonald's | Polymarket | No | – |
| Jan 7, 2025 | McDonald's | Polymarket | No | – |
| Nov 4, 2024 | McDonald's | Polymarket | No | – |
| Nov 4, 2024 | McDonald's | Polymarket | No | – |
| Nov 2, 2024 | McDonald's | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Oct 31, 2024 | McDonald's | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Oct 30, 2024 | McDonald's | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Oct 29, 2024 | McDonald's | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Oct 26, 2024 | McDonald's | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Oct 25, 2024 | McDonald's | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Oct 25, 2024 | McDonald's | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Oct 22, 2024 | McDonald's | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Oct 21, 2024 | McDonald's | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Oct 19, 2024 | McDonald's | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Oct 15, 2024 | McDonald's | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Oct 5, 2024 | McDonald's | Polymarket | No | – |
| Oct 4, 2024 | McDonald's | Polymarket | No | – |
| Sep 28, 2024 | McDonald's | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Sep 25, 2024 | McDonald's | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Sep 24, 2024 | McDonald's | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Sep 23, 2024 | McDonald's | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Sep 10, 2024 | McDonald's | Polymarket | No | – |
| Sep 4, 2024 | McDonald's | Polymarket | Yes | – |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “McDonald's / McDonald”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “McDonald's / McDonald” at 17 of 35 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Sep 4, 2024 (49%), most recently on Apr 16, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “McDonald's / McDonald” next time?
- 33%, from settlement history (n=35). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘McDonald's / McDonald’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/mcdonald (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=mcdonald · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP