Donald Trump: Weekly window, Apr 18, 2025
Polymarket What will Trump say this week?
Coverage
0 known appearancesno known appearances yet Window: Apr 12, 2025 to Apr 18, 2025. Counts: spoken only (posts do not count). 0 own posts by @realDonaldTrump.
Markets
20 words · 8 settled yes- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
Counts marked ≥ are lower bounds: not every appearance in this window is transcribed yet, so a word may have been said more often.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | Yes | – | 0 | 47%n=27 from settlement history | – |
| Egg | Yes | – | 0 | 46%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Transgender | Yes | – | 0 | 46%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Congo | Yes | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| MAGA / Make America Great Again | Yes | – | 0 | 43%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Deranged | Yes | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Stupid | Yes | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| NATO | Yes | – | 0 | 35%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| McDonald's | No | – | 0 | 45%n=26 from settlement history | – |
| Gold Card | No | – | 0 | 43%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Ass | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Handicap | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Shifty Schiff | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Witch Hunt | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| WTO / World Trade Organization | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Weave / Weaver | No | – | 0 | 41%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Sleepy Joe | No | – | 0 | 39%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Peanut | No | – | 0 | 35%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| DOGE | No | – | 0 | 34%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | No | – | 0 | 12%n=78 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-trump-say-this-week-322 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP