Donald Trump: Remarks, May 7, 2026
Kalshi What will Trump say during his bilateral meetings with Brazil?
Polymarket What will Trump say during bilateral events with Brazilian President?
Markets
44 words · 0 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Venezuela | No | 66%n=27 from settlement history | – |
| Gas / Gasoline | No | 60%n=29 from settlement history | – |
| Tariff | No | 57%n=169 from settlement history | – |
| Democrat | No | 57%n=135 from settlement history | – |
| Election | No | 55%n=85 from settlement history | – |
| Mexico | No | 55%n=15 from settlement history | – |
| Biden | No | 55%n=243 from settlement history | – |
| Border | No | 54%n=103 from settlement history | – |
| Oil | No | 52%n=72 from settlement history | – |
| China | No | 52%n=153 from settlement history | – |
| Iran | No | 51%n=101 from settlement history | – |
| Transgender | No | 50%n=112 from settlement history | – |
| Pelé | No | 50%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| First Term | No | 47%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Six Seven | No | 47%n=18 from settlement history | – |
| Hottest | No | 45%n=219 from settlement history | – |
| Stock Market | No | 44%n=70 from settlement history | – |
| Beach / Pool | No | 43%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Fentanyl | No | 43%n=30 from settlement history | – |
| Teleprompter | No | 42%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Delcy / Rodriguez | No | 41%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| My father | No | 41%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| World Cup | No | 40%n=18 from settlement history | – |
| Flag | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Get along / Getting along | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Transnational / Foreign Criminal Organization | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| River | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Sea / Water | No | 38%n=33 from settlement history | – |
| Argentina | No | 37%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Clown | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| BRICS | No | 36%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Nobel / Prize | No | 36%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Tren de Aragua | No | 36%n=13 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 36%n=141 from settlement history | – |
| Bolsonaro | No | 35%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Cuba / Cuban | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Maduro | No | 33%n=57 from settlement history | – |
| Rare Earth / Mineral | No | 33%n=31 from settlement history | – |
| Cuba | No | 32%n=19 from settlement history | – |
| Peanut | No | 31%n=16 from settlement history | – |
| Ballroom | No | 30%n=62 from settlement history | – |
| Cartel | No | 29%n=13 from settlement history | – |
| President Xi | No | 27%n=24 from settlement history | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | No | 4%n=359 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXTRUMPMENTION-26MAY07 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP