Zohran Mamdani: Remarks, Jan 5, 2026
In remarks on Jan 5, 2026, Zohran Mamdani said 5 of the 14 words Kalshi listed; Parrot’s count agreed with all 14 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.
UpdatedMarkets
14 words · 5 settled yes · our count agreed on 14 of 14- Kalshi: named speaker only
Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Economy / Economic | Yes | 3 | 8 | ✓ | 21%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Affordable / Affordability | Yes | 2 | 8 | ✓ | 60%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Grocery | Yes | 1 | 2 | ✓ | 54%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| NYPD | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 42%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Task Force | Yes | 1 | 3 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trump | No | 0 | 1 | ✓ | 53%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Free Bus / Fast and Free | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Socialist / Socialism | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 46%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| ICE / National Guard | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 40%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Maduro / Venezuela | No | 0 | 1 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Billionaire | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 34%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Inflation | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 29%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Subway / Fare Evasion | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 26%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Inequality | No | 0 | 1 | ✓ | 20%n=5 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:05 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsOfficial transcript · Office of the Mayor of the City of New York (nyc.gov) · Source · Quotes of at most 25 words; the full text is at the source.
Where the listed words were said
…here today. And thank you to Deyanira Del Rio from the New Economy Project. Thank you also to our incredible Attorney general, Tish James, and…
…to worry all the time about whether you're being ripped off. Our affordability agenda is also about an agenda of dignity, and there are few…
…year ago that spoke to dynamic pricing specifically within the question of groceries. And I continue to voice my opposition to the use of dynamic…
…continue to stay in constant communication with my police commissioner and the NYPD. And my job as the mayor of New York City is to…
…order has three components. First, it will establish a citywide junk fee task force chaired by our deputy mayor for Economic Justice, Julie Su, and…
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/zohran-mamdani:2026-01-05:remarks-570156 · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=zohran-mamdani:2026-01-05:remarks-570156 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP