Zohran Mamdani: Remarks, Jan 3, 2026
Kalshi What will Zohran Mamdani say during his announcement?
Markets
14 words · 4 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Affordable / Affordability | Yes | 54%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Executive Order | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Housing / Home | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Free Bus / Fast & Free | Yes | 27%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Trump | No | 66%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Grocery | No | 64%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Eric / Adams | No | 59%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Socialism / Socialist | No | 55%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| ICE / National Guard | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| NYPD | No | 52%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Billionaire | No | 40%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Subway | No | 30%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Inequality | No | 25%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Economy | No | 23%n=4 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXMAMDANIMENTION-26JAN03 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP