Zohran Mamdani: Remarks, Sep 6, 2025
Kalshi What will Zohran Mamdani say during the Fighting the Oligarchy Tour?
Polymarket What will Zohran Mamdani say during Fighting Oligarchy town hall on September 6?
Markets
31 words · 10 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Homeless / Homelessness | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| New York / New Yorker 12+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Thousand / Million / Billion 8+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trump 5+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Andrew / Cuomo | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Debate | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Donald / Trump | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Eric / Adams | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Immigrant | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Socialism / Socialist | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Bitcoin / Crypto | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Dream 3+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Fascism / Fascist | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Halal | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| ICE | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Muslim / Jewish | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Pizza / Hamburger | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez / AOC | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Communism / Communist | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Dream | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Drop out | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Fascist | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Freedom | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Freeze the Rent | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Hakeem / Jeffries | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Hamburger | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Homelessness | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Oligarchy 5+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| One Percent | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Sexual | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Uganda | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXMAMDANIMENTION-25SEP06 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP