Zohran Mamdani: Remarks, Jan 6, 2026
In remarks on Jan 6, 2026, Zohran Mamdani said 2 of the 14 words Kalshi listed; Parrot’s count agreed with all 14 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.
UpdatedMarkets
14 words · 2 settled yes · our count agreed on 14 of 14- Kalshi: named speaker only
Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYPD | Yes | 6 | 28 | ✓ | 49%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Subway / Fare Evasion | Yes | 2 | 15 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Grocery | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 58%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Affordable / Affordability | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 55%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Task Force | No | 0 | 1 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Economy / Economic | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 41%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Socialist / Socialism | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 39%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Trump | No | 0 | 1 | ✓ | 38%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Free Bus / Fast & Free | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 35%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| ICE / National Guard | No | 0 | 1 | ✓ | 32%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Billionaire | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 29%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Maduro / Venezuela | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 24%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Inflation | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 22%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Inequality | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 17%n=6 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:05 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsOfficial transcript · Office of the Mayor of the City of New York (nyc.gov) · Source · Quotes of at most 25 words; the full text is at the source.
Where the listed words were said
…to be surrounded by so many committed public servants here in the NYPD. I want to thank Commissioner Tisch for her leadership and Governor Hochul…
…a parent at home. When we talk about the safest year on subways absent the pandemic years since 2009, we are talking about a City…
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/zohran-mamdani:2026-01-06:remarks-3a4475 · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=zohran-mamdani:2026-01-06:remarks-3a4475 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP