Zohran Mamdani: Interview, Nov 20, 2025
Kalshi What will Zohran Mamdani say during All in with Chris Hayes?
Markets
16 words · 9 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Grocery | Yes | 66%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Trump | Yes | 56%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Bus | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Rent | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Immigrant / Immigration | Yes | 48%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| NYPD | Yes | 41%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Election | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| New York | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| ICE | Yes | 27%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Cuomo | No | 55%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Socialism / Socialist | No | 52%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Billionaire | No | 42%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Islamophobia | No | 41%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Affordable / Affordability | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Ackman | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Kathy / Hochul | No | 24%n=3 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXMAMDANIMENTION-25NOV20 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP