Will “Afford / Affordable / Affordability” be said on The Last Word next time?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “Afford / Affordable / Affordability” was said on The Last Word in 13 of 50 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 5, 2026 (26%), most recently on Oct 22, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 41% (n=50, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 episodes we have transcripts for (Sep 30, 2026 – Oct 22, 2026), 2 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2 of them.
- Last 10
- 6/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes no no yes yes no no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell
Afford / Affordable / Affordability
- Probability
- 41% · n=50
- Settled
- 13/50 (26%)
- Last 8 episodes
- said in 2 of 2 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Counts: named speaker only
2 counted; 4 by speakers the rule does not count.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Not counted under this market’s speaker rule.
Counts: named speaker only
1 counted; 1 by speakers the rule does not count.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Counts: named speaker only
1 counted; 3 by speakers the rule does not count.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Every settled listing
newest first · 51 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How often is “Afford / Affordable / Affordability” said on The Last Word?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, “Afford / Affordable / Affordability” was said on The Last Word in 13 of 50 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 5, 2026 (26%), most recently on Oct 22, 2026.
- What is the probability “Afford / Affordable / Affordability” is said on The Last Word next time?
- 41%, from settlement history (n=50). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “The Last Word: ‘Afford / Affordable / Affordability’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/the-last-word/words/afford-or-affordability-or-affordable (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=the-last-word&word=afford%20%2F%20affordability%20%2F%20affordable · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=the-last-word&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP