The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell: Episode, Aug 25, 2026
On the Aug 25, 2026 episode of The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell, 5 of the 11 words Kalshi listed were said; Parrot’s count agreed with all 11 settlements. Counts and timings only: the captions are at the Internet Archive.
UpdatedMarkets
11 words · 5 settled yes · our count agreed on 11 of 11- Kalshi: named speaker only
Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Farm / Farmer | Yes | 5 | 7 | ✓ | 38%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Healthcare | Yes | 3 | 3 | ✓ | 47%n=21 from settlement history | – |
| Iowa | Yes | 3 | 17 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Corrupt / Corruption | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 46%n=34 from settlement history | – |
| Cancer | Yes | 1 | 3 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Republican | No | 0 | 3 | ✓ | 46%n=45 from settlement history | – |
| Trump 3+ times | No | 0 | 94 | ✓ | 44%n=14 from settlement history | – |
| Election | No | 0 | 7 | ✓ | 44%n=26 from settlement history | – |
| Joni / Ernst | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | No | 0 | 1 | ✓ | 26%n=36 from settlement history | – |
| ICE | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 22%n=15 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 23:45 UTC.
Transcript
counts and timings onlyCaptions · machine-attributed · Internet Archive TV News Archive (broadcast captions) · Source · Counts and timings only: the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Where the listed words were said
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/the-last-word:2026-08-25:tv_episode · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=the-last-word:2026-08-25:tv_episode · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP