The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell: Episode, Jun 17, 2026
Kalshi What will Amy Klobuchar say during The Last Word With Lawrence O'Donnell?
Markets
11 words · 0 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trump | No | 66%n=30 from settlement history | – |
| Republican | No | 57%n=31 from settlement history | – |
| Election | No | 52%n=15 from settlement history | – |
| Ballroom | No | 51%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Farmer / Small Business | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| World Cup | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Corrupt / Corruption | No | 38%n=22 from settlement history | – |
| Iran | No | 36%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Fraud | No | 36%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| ICE | No | 36%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | No | 29%n=20 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXLASTWORDMENTION-26JUN17 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP