The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell: Episode, Jun 23, 2026
Kalshi What will Jon Ossoff say during The Last Word With Lawrence O'Donnell?
Markets
11 words · 6 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trump 3+ times | Yes | 74%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Corrupt / Corruption | Yes | 65%n=24 from settlement history | – |
| Healthcare | Yes | 42%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| 2028 / Campaign | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Iran / Iranian | Yes | 32%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Yes | 21%n=22 from settlement history | – |
| Republican | No | 71%n=33 from settlement history | – |
| Election | No | 68%n=16 from settlement history | – |
| Ballroom | No | 60%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| ICE / DHS | No | 33%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 21%n=6 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXLASTWORDMENTION-26JUN23 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP