The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell: Episode, Jun 3, 2026
Kalshi What will Jon Ossoff say during The Last Word With Lawrence O'Donnell?
Markets
11 words · 5 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corrupt / Corruption | Yes | 75%n=17 from settlement history | – |
| Republican | Yes | 71%n=27 from settlement history | – |
| Trump 3+ times | Yes | 69%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Election | Yes | 66%n=13 from settlement history | – |
| Ballroom | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Healthcare | No | 63%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Iran / Iranian | No | 41%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | No | 36%n=14 from settlement history | – |
| Economy / Economic | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | No | 28%n=18 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 26%n=4 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXLASTWORDMENTION-26JUN03 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP