The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell: Episode, May 28, 2026
Kalshi What will Cory Booker say during The Last Word With Lawrence O'Donnell?
Markets
12 words · 7 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trump | Yes | 82%n=27 from settlement history | – |
| Iran / Iranian | Yes | 77%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Corrupt / Corruption | Yes | 72%n=15 from settlement history | – |
| Healthcare | Yes | 70%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Republican | Yes | 70%n=25 from settlement history | – |
| Election | Yes | 47%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | Yes | 46%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| Democracy | No | 66%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Billionaire | No | 46%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| ICE | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | No | 31%n=17 from settlement history | – |
| Redistrict / Redistricted / Redistricting | No | 18%n=4 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXLASTWORDMENTION-26MAY28 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP