The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell: Episode, Jul 7, 2026
Kalshi What will Chellie Pingree say during The Last Word With Lawrence O'Donnell?
Markets
10 words · 2 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| New York Times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Endorse / Endorsed / Endorsement | Yes | 32%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Trump | No | 56%n=33 from settlement history | – |
| Republican | No | 54%n=36 from settlement history | – |
| Supreme Court | No | 51%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Consent / Consensual | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Janet / Mills | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Susan / Collins | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Midterm | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | No | 28%n=25 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXLASTWORDMENTION-26JUL07 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP