The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell: Episode, Mar 19, 2026
Kalshi What will Ro Khanna say during his MS NOW Interview?
Markets
11 words · 1 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Epstein | Yes | 61%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Trump | No | 74%n=15 from settlement history | – |
| Ghislaine / Maxwell | No | 51%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Billionaire | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Republican | No | 47%n=13 from settlement history | – |
| Iran | No | 32%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Israel / Israeli | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| ICE / DHS | No | 29%n=14 from settlement history | – |
| Afford / Affordability / Affordable | No | 27%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Corrupt / Corruption | No | 17%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Shutdown / Shut Down | No | 13%n=6 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXLASTWORDMENTION-26MAR19 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP