The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell: Episode, May 14, 2026
Kalshi What will Cory Booker say during The Last Word With Lawrence O'Donnell?
Markets
11 words · 10 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trump | Yes | 69%n=24 from settlement history | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | Yes | 58%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Iran / Iranian | Yes | 57%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Corrupt / Corruption | Yes | 49%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| Republican | Yes | 44%n=21 from settlement history | – |
| Supreme Court | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Ballroom | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| China / Chinese | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Democracy | Yes | 28%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Election | Yes | 27%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | No | 24%n=13 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXLASTWORDMENTION-26MAY14 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP