The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell: Episode, Aug 27, 2026
On the Aug 27, 2026 episode of The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell, 3 of the 11 words Kalshi listed were said; Parrot’s count agreed with all 11 settlements. Counts and timings only: the captions are at the Internet Archive.
UpdatedMarkets
11 words · 3 settled yes · our count agreed on 11 of 11- Kalshi: named speaker only
Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tariff | Yes | 3 | 7 | ✓ | 49%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Trump | Yes | 2 | 91 | ✓ | 59%n=36 from settlement history | – |
| Healthcare | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 64%n=23 from settlement history | – |
| Republican | No | 0 | 5 | ✓ | 55%n=46 from settlement history | – |
| Susan / Collins | No | 0 | 8 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Billionaire | No | 0 | 1 | ✓ | 42%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| ICE | No | 0 | 9 | ✓ | 38%n=17 from settlement history | – |
| Corrupt / Corruption | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 36%n=36 from settlement history | – |
| Election | No | 0 | 24 | ✓ | 31%n=27 from settlement history | – |
| Graham / Platner | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | No | 0 | 2 | ✓ | 19%n=37 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 23:45 UTC.
Transcript
counts and timings onlyCaptions · machine-attributed · Internet Archive TV News Archive (broadcast captions) · Source · Counts and timings only: the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Where the listed words were said
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/the-last-word:2026-08-27:tv_episode · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=the-last-word:2026-08-27:tv_episode · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP