The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell: Episode, Mar 31, 2026
Kalshi What will Ro Khanna say during The Last Word With Lawrence O'Donnell?
Markets
12 words · 2 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trump | Yes | 61%n=18 from settlement history | – |
| King | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Epstein | No | 65%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Redacted / Redaction / Unredacted | No | 58%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Republican | No | 41%n=16 from settlement history | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | No | 39%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Healthcare | No | 36%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| ICE / TSA | No | 36%n=17 from settlement history | – |
| Iran | No | 34%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Corrupt / Corruption | No | 18%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | No | 17%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Shutdown / Shut Down | No | 15%n=9 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXLASTWORDMENTION-26MAR31 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP