The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell: Episode, Jul 30, 2026
Kalshi What will Ro Khanna say during The Last Word With Lawrence O'Donnell?
Markets
12 words · 1 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Epstein | Yes | 44%n=19 from settlement history | – |
| Trump 3+ times | No | 44%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Republican | No | 43%n=41 from settlement history | – |
| Election | No | 41%n=23 from settlement history | – |
| Corrupt / Corruption | No | 35%n=31 from settlement history | – |
| SAVE Act / Save America Act | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Billionaire | No | 32%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Iran / Iranian | No | 31%n=17 from settlement history | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | No | 31%n=26 from settlement history | – |
| Israel / Israeli | No | 30%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | No | 19%n=32 from settlement history | – |
| ICE | No | 15%n=14 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXLASTWORDMENTION-26JUL30 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP