The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell: Episode, Aug 18, 2026
Kalshi What will Sherrod Brown say during The Last Word With Lawrence O'Donnell?
Markets
11 words · 3 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Election / Campaign | Yes | 47%n=26 from settlement history | – |
| Trump | Yes | 43%n=35 from settlement history | – |
| Jon Husted / Husted | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Corrupt / Corruption | No | 51%n=33 from settlement history | – |
| Healthcare / Medicare / Medicaid / Social Security | No | 41%n=20 from settlement history | – |
| Inflation / Grocery | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Democrat / Democratic | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Working Class / Middle Class | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Utility / Energy Prices | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Economy / Economic | No | 35%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | No | 29%n=34 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXLASTWORDMENTION-26AUG18 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP