The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell: Episode, Jun 30, 2026
Kalshi What will Cory Booker say during The Last Word With Lawrence O'Donnell?
Markets
13 words · 7 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Yes | 72%n=35 from settlement history | – |
| Corrupt / Corruption | Yes | 69%n=26 from settlement history | – |
| Trump | Yes | 62%n=32 from settlement history | – |
| Election | Yes | 60%n=18 from settlement history | – |
| Democracy | Yes | 55%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Supreme Court | Yes | 52%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Billionaire | Yes | 31%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Healthcare | No | 66%n=13 from settlement history | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | No | 38%n=20 from settlement history | – |
| Reflecting / Pool | No | 34%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Redistrict / Redistricted / Redistricting | No | 31%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | No | 23%n=24 from settlement history | – |
| ICE | No | 18%n=8 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXLASTWORDMENTION-26JUN30 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP