The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell: Episode, Jul 20, 2026
Kalshi What will Hakeem Jeffries say during The Last Word With Lawrence O'Donnell?
Markets
13 words · 9 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Yes | 70%n=39 from settlement history | – |
| Election | Yes | 67%n=21 from settlement history | – |
| Trump 3+ times | Yes | 67%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Corrupt / Corruption | Yes | 61%n=28 from settlement history | – |
| Afford / Affordability / Affordable | Yes | 58%n=28 from settlement history | – |
| Healthcare | Yes | 57%n=16 from settlement history | – |
| Iran / Iranian | Yes | 42%n=14 from settlement history | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | Yes | 40%n=23 from settlement history | – |
| War Powers | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Unconstitutional / Constitution / Constitutional | No | 44%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| ICE | No | 40%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Socialist / Socialism | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Israel / Israeli | No | 29%n=6 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXLASTWORDMENTION-26JUL20 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP