Donald Trump: Rally, Oct 27, 2026
At the rally on Oct 27, 2026, Donald Trump said 27 of the 48 words Kalshi and Polymarket listed; Parrot’s count agreed with 46 of 48 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.
UpdatedMarkets
48 words · 27 settled yes · our count agreed on 46 of 48- Kalshi: named speaker only
Kalshi - Polymarket: named speaker only
Polymarket
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Million / Billion / Trillion 25+ times | Yes | 38 | 39 | ✓ | 64%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Hell 15+ times | Yes | 16 | 16 | ✓ | 34%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Tariff 3+ times | Yes | 13 | 13 | ✓ | 59%n=15 from settlement history | – |
| Iran 5+ times | Yes | 7 | 7 | ✓ | 65%n=37 from settlement history | – |
| Transgender 7+ times | Yes | 7 | 7 | ✓ | 48%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Fraud 3+ times | Yes | 6 | 6 | ✓ | 20%n=15 from settlement history | – |
| Nuclear 3+ times | Yes | 5 | 5 | ✓ | 80%n=18 from settlement history | – |
| Cheat / Cheater / Cheating | Yes | 4 | 4 | ✓ | 65%n=44 from settlement history | – |
| Ilhan / Omar | Yes | 3 | 3 | ✓ | 72%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Barack Hussein Obama | Yes | 3 | 3 | ✓ | 68%n=196 from settlement history | – |
| Kamala | Yes | 3 | 3 | ✓ | 58%n=71 from settlement history | – |
| China / Chinese | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | 62%n=103 from settlement history | – |
| Gulf of America | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | 53%n=51 from settlement history | – |
| Barbecue | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| France | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | 46%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Save America Act | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 79%n=83 from settlement history | – |
| Sleepy Joe | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 78%n=136 from settlement history | – |
| ICE | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 71%n=51 from settlement history | – |
| Made in America / American Made | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 63%n=29 from settlement history | – |
| Russia / Ukraine | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 54%n=35 from settlement history | – |
| Sanctuary | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 51%n=23 from settlement history | – |
| America First | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 44%n=114 from settlement history | – |
| Drill Baby Drill | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 27%n=121 from settlement history | – |
| Fentanyl / Deport / Deported | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 19%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Deport / Deported / Deportation | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 12%n=23 from settlement history | – |
| Hormuz / Blockade | Yes | 0 | 0 | ✗ | 63%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Hormuz | Yes | 0 | 0 | ✗ | 52%n=105 from settlement history | – |
| Drug 10+ times | No | 9 | 9 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Social Security 5+ times | No | 2 | 2 | ✓ | 35%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Supreme Court | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 66%n=104 from settlement history | – |
| No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 59%n=7 from settlement history | – | |
| SI / Super Intelligence | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 51%n=19 from settlement history | – |
| Crude Oil | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Blockade | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 47%n=42 from settlement history | – |
| Suit | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 46%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Ass | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 46%n=30 from settlement history | – |
| Israel / Israeli | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 36%n=117 from settlement history | – |
| Windmill | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 28%n=75 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 24%n=277 from settlement history | – |
| Electricity | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 24%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Palestine / Palestinian | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 22%n=23 from settlement history | – |
| Data Center | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 18%n=36 from settlement history | – |
| Fentanyl | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 17%n=71 from settlement history | – |
| Trump Account | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 12%n=31 from settlement history | – |
| Ceasefire | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 10%n=137 from settlement history | – |
| Peace in the Middle East | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 6%n=60 from settlement history | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 4%n=533 from settlement history | – |
| Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 3%n=68 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 27, 2026 23:04 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsCaptions · machine-attributed · RSBN (YouTube auto-captions) · Source · Quotes of at most 25 words; the full recording is on the publisher's official channel.
2 matches for “Barbecue”; 2 quoted, at least 25 words apart.
…it. You know, it's like me. He's going around to so many barbecues. That's probably why. Either that or he has a mental illness. He…
…cuz he can't stand it. You ever see him go to a barbecue and he's trying to show I love the meat. Ah, I love…
Where the listed words were said
…a little ship. See that little ship out there? It's got 1 million barrels of oil on it from Venezuela. And we're celebrating the greatest…
…so fast and so furious and so violent. We just said,"Get the hell out of here. We have the greatest military in the world, and…
…money, more revenue, more wealth than it's ever accumulated before. Thank you, tariffs. Thank you very much. We have more things being built, more factories,…
…We're now in the throws of having an even greater victory against Iran and stopping them from ever having a nuclear weapon. And you've got…
…to get rid of the meat. But he wants to keep the transgender mutilization of your children. Open borders. He wants to keep men playing…
…battle together. We won. We fought so many different batt. The voter fraud, all of that terrible voter fraud. Be careful of the voter fraud.…
…I had to do this because we couldn't let Iran have a nuclear weapon. You want to see problems? That would have been a problem.…
…the, you know, for years I I just couldn't believe because they cheat so well. I figured they didn't have to do this. They're the…
…But in breaking news just last week, it was revealed that Elhan Omar's name is not Elan Omar, the one she used to get elected…
…who is the healthiest cuz he presided over the lives of Barack Hussein Obama and Bush and Trump and they asked him at a vicious…
…a test. How many people know her last name? Like about five. Kamala. You just call it Kamala. Kamla Harris. It's funny is it simple…
Who the hell would have thought we didn't make drugs. China made them. Ireland made them. All over the UK they were made. We didn't…
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/donald-trump:2026-10-27:rally-waco-texas · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=donald-trump:2026-10-27:rally-waco-texas · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP