Will Donald Trump say “Google”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Google” at 5 of 7 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since May 30, 2025 (71%), most recently on Oct 23, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 62% (n=7, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches; Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 4. 1 later appearance without a transcript yet (Oct 24, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 5/7Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes yes no yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
- Market
- 78¢ Polymarket (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
- Probability
- 62% · n=7
- Settled
- 5/7 (71%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 4 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Counts: named speaker only
5 counted.
…I have an unbelievable one of the great five legs. Canada is not Canada is not thrilled with that one. I called up Google map.
…look what they did." Sergey Sundar, look what they did. But the Google map is a big deal. You know, I did all the legal…
Counts: named speaker only
3 counted.
…you think our friends in Europe, I actually called up Sundar from Google, you know, Google maps is a big deal. You get it on…
Every settled listing
newest first · 8 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2026 |  Kalshi | Yes | 5 | |
| Oct 22, 2026 |  Polymarket | Yes | 3 | |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Kalshi | Yes | 3 | |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Polymarket | No | 0 | |
| Mar 4, 2026 | Polymarket | Yes | – | |
| Nov 17, 2025 | Polymarket | Yes | – | |
| Oct 28, 2025 | Polymarket | Yes | – | |
| May 30, 2025 | Polymarket | No | – |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Google”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Google” at 5 of 7 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since May 30, 2025 (71%), most recently on Oct 23, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Google” next time?
- 62%, from settlement history (n=7). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Google’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/google (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=google · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP