Remarks transcript, Aug 7, 2026 (Donald Trump)

Remarks During a Roundtable Discussion on United States Mining at the Department of State

In remarks on Aug 7, 2026, Donald Trump said 21 of the 58 words Kalshi and Polymarket listed; Parrot’s count agreed with all 58 settlements. Full transcript below (presidency.ucsb.edu, public domain).

Updated

Markets

58 words · 21 settled yes · our count agreed on 58 of 58

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, our count under the market rule, the count over every speaker, whether they agree, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultOur countAll speakersAgreesProbabilityMarket
Million / Billion 15+ timesYes2026✓41%n=2 from settlement history–
America / American Yes1638✓42%n=2 from settlement history–
Coal Yes1111✓53%n=17 from settlement history–
Rare Earth / Mineral Yes916✓19%n=44 from settlement history–
Invest / Invested / Investment Yes514✓67%n=14 from settlement history–
Tariff Yes57✓53%n=222 from settlement history–
Oil / Gas / Gasoline Yes44✓48%n=77 from settlement history–
Clean Coal / Beautiful Coal Yes44✓47%n=5 from settlement history–
Magnet Yes49✓39%n=3 from settlement history–
Gold Yes37✓49%n=10 from settlement history–
Copper Yes37✓39%n=3 from settlement history–
Defense Yes35✓39%n=13 from settlement history–
Gold / Silver Yes37✓–n=1 too little history for a probability–
China / Chinese Yes22✓58%n=52 from settlement history–
China Yes22✓56%n=173 from settlement history–
Energy Yes25✓51%n=31 from settlement history–
Strategic Yes22✓–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Trump Yes16✓52%n=74 from settlement history–
Permit / Permitting Yes14✓–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Steel Yes13✓36%n=11 from settlement history–
AI / Artificial Intelligence Yes12✓33%n=219 from settlement history–
Job 15+ timesNo912✓51%n=8 from settlement history–
Iran 3+ timesNo00✓68%n=53 from settlement history–
Nuclear No00✓64%n=180 from settlement history–
Golden Age No00✓60%n=21 from settlement history–
Biden No00✓58%n=325 from settlement history–
Green New Scam No00✓51%n=26 from settlement history–
Radical Left No00✓50%n=95 from settlement history–
Canada No00✓48%n=14 from settlement history–
Hottest No00✓48%n=314 from settlement history–
Barack Hussein Obama No00✓47%n=149 from settlement history–
Iran 5+ timesNo00✓46%n=18 from settlement history–
Google No00✓46%n=4 from settlement history–
GM / General Motors No02✓45%n=2 from settlement history–
Manufacturing No01✓44%n=26 from settlement history–
Windmill No00✓43%n=64 from settlement history–
Made in America / American Made No01✓42%n=3 from settlement history–
Biden 3+ timesNo00✓42%n=17 from settlement history–
National Security No04✓41%n=21 from settlement history–
MAGA / Make America Great Again No00✓41%n=76 from settlement history–
Supply Chain No06✓–new new word, no probability yet–
Nevada No00✓–new new word, no probability yet–
Vault No00✓–new new word, no probability yet–
Cobalt No00✓–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Alaska No02✓40%n=7 from settlement history–
Lithium No00✓–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Transgender No00✓39%n=204 from settlement history–
Ukraine No00✓39%n=83 from settlement history–
Drone No00✓38%n=67 from settlement history–
Obama No00✓36%n=25 from settlement history–
Regulation / Red Tape No00✓33%n=5 from settlement history–
Drill Baby Drill No01✓26%n=94 from settlement history–
Six Seven No00✓22%n=58 from settlement history–
Taiwan No00✓22%n=20 from settlement history–
Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency No00✓20%n=9 from settlement history–
Uranium No00✓15%n=41 from settlement history–
Ceasefire No00✓9%n=86 from settlement history–
Crypto / Bitcoin No00✓5%n=474 from settlement history–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.

Transcript

202 passages · part 2 of 2

Official transcript · The American Presidency Project (UCSB), Gerhard Peters and John T. Woolley · Source · Public domain (US government work): full text.

Prepared remarks

Ms. Peacey29:01

Thank you.

Great. I don't think you're going to need too much luck. [ Laugher ]

Tom and David, go ahead, please.

American Ocean Minerals Chairman Tom Albanese29:08

Mr. President, I'm a very, very proud former alumni of the University of Alaska Fairbanks School of Mines. So, on behalf of all the faculty here, the students here, I am thrilled with all of your announcements today.

I mean, we've all been frustrated over r decades. You're making something happen. I really appreciate that.

My first mining job was in Alaska, staking the claims near the Ambler District, and we were in a rush then. This was 1975—1976. And it's still not permits. Thank you for breaking that logjam.

I have presented you a gift to the American people on a project that I've been very involved with. It's deep-sea nodules. I'm—like you, I'm a fan of gold, and this is a solid gold replica of a deep-sea nodule.

Now, I wish the nodules down in the deep sea had a lot of gold in them—they'd be more attractive—but they—they do contain 20 critical metals. And these are 20 critical metals that are going to be needed for the reindustrialization of America. They're going to be needed for defense purposes. They're going to be needed for all the technologies that we are relying on and every single citizen of the United States take for granted. That should be part—a key part of the supply chain, and that's what mining can do.

Thank you very much.

Thank you.

Where's the gold? Come on. Bring it over here. [ Laughter ]

Mr. Albanese30:26

Pass it down.

I want the gold. He just said—let me see what it looks like. It should be very heavy. It's the heaviest material——

Mr. Albanese30:32

The gold is more fun.

Let me see.

Mr. Litinsky30:36

Pass the magnet down.

It is. That's heavy. [ Laughter ]

Mr. Albanese30:39

It's real.

That's fantastic.

Oh, I like that too, huh? This is so valuable.

Mr. Litinsky30:46

Yes, sir.

I don't know—do you have a lot of competition, I hope? Because people have to go after—this is so—people have no idea how valuable that——

Thank you very much, fellas. It's really beautiful.

Please, David.

National Security Council Senior Director for Global Supply Chain David Copley30:58

And as somebody who joined the Trump administration from the mining industry, I just want to say that absolutely nobody supports our industry more than President Trump.

So, for decades, we felt ignored by Washington, and we've seen our industry outsourced to our geopolitical competitors. So I'm so grateful to work for you because you get it and you understand that this industry is foundational to our economic and national security.

So thank you, Mr. President, for your leadership on these issues.

And I know from all of us here in industry that we are committed to building the world's best mining sector here in the United States and reestablishing American mineral dominance.

Thank you, sir.

Great. Thank you very much.

My friend.

Executive Director Agen31:33

Well, the mining industry has no greater friend than President Trump. He's—obviously, everybody knows he's the greatest dealmaker in the world. But what he's doing here today is bigger than any deal or one deal or two deals. This is generational.

He is focusing on the next generation of miners. That is something that has never been done before by a President of the United States. He is single handedly, today, going to change the entire next generation of mining in America, and he is making America the center of energy dominance for the world.

So thank you, Mr. President.

Well, thank you very much. And great.

Would you like to say anything, fellas? Good-looking guys here.

Ivanhoe Capital Founder and Chairman Robert M. Friedland32:11

Mr. President, this is a truly historic occasion to bring America back to the leadership of mining, which built this building and which built this country.

We've been sleepwalking through many administrations, and this is a revolution that will just electrify the millions of people in the United States that understand that everything you touch, we either mined it or we grew it agriculturally. And the people that are the farmers really need everything the miners produce to help them farm.

So this is critical to our national security. We're elated with your support, and we're going to use Yankee ingenuity to prove that we can dominate the supply chain again rather than have that used by other nations against us.

Thank you for that.

You know, you used the word "sleepwalking." That's what our country was doing with respect to mining and many other things too, by the way. But "sleepwalking," it's a great word. Thank you.

Mr. Friedland33:06

Thank you.

Please.

Pratt Rogers, associate professor and chair of the Mining Engineering Department, University of Utah33:08

Yes, it's an honor to be here. This is so exciting to see this attention. You know, I'll just say thank you for your attention to this matter, as you like to end your post. [ Laughter ] It's awesome. And we're here, and we're ready to go. So thank you.

Well, I just want to thank you very much. This is an honor for me to be here. I love what you do.

Doug made a terrible mistake before when he said "coal." I said, "You have to always precede it by saying, 'clean, beautiful coal.'" [ Laughter ] He made a speech once, and it was a great speech. But he took me very much, you know, at the word. He said, "Clean, beautiful coal." He mentioned coal about 40 times, and he kept saying, "Clean, beautiful coal"—I said: "Okay, that's enough. That's enough." [ Laughter ] But it is. It needs a little public relations help, but it doesn't need so much anymore.

We're producing more coal now than just about ever before. It's firing up our great plants. And certain types of plant, there's, you know, nothing like it. And we were out of that business. If you would have seen the people suffer, and some of you were those people—I believe some of you were the people. But there's great, big coal deposits, and you couldn't touch them. If you touched them, you were, like, a bad person. They put you in jail. It was the craziest thing I've ever seen.

And you know, China is smart, and they're using coal. They're building 58 coal plants right now—generating plants, all coal. They don't have too much wind.

You know, they sell us wind turbines, but they don't use too many of them, so—it's because they're smart. They sell them, but they don't use them.

They have one that's pretty big. Doesn't work. It just is for purposes of show. When they go to look at a turbine, they go and show them—"And here we are." But the—[ laughter ]—they never work. So it's crazy.

But clean, beautiful coal is something special. It's all very special. And we're back in the mining business. And I'm very proud of the country. I'm very proud of what you do. You do—you really do. I say—I said before walking in, "These are the people that really built America." And you were not treated properly, but you're—we're making up for lost time. You're being treated very properly right now.

So I just want to thank everybody. Great honor to be with you. Thank you. Congratulations.

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