Will Donald Trump say “General Motors / GM”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “General Motors / GM” at 4 of 6 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Oct 25, 2024 (67%), most recently on Oct 13, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 68% (n=6, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches; Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0. 1 later appearance without a transcript yet (Oct 24, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 4/6Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 3 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
General Motors / GM
- Probability
- 68% · n=6
- Settled
- 4/6 (67%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Every settled listing
newest first · 6 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | General Motors / GM |  Kalshi | Yes | – (settled yes · not found in what we could read (5 of 31 known appearances transcribed; the post archive does not cover the window)) |
| Sep 30, 2026 | General Motors / GM | Kalshi | Yes | 4 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | General Motors / GM | Kalshi | Yes | 2 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | GM / General Motors |  Polymarket | No | 0 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | General Motors / GM | Kalshi | Yes | 20 |
| Oct 25, 2024 | GM/General Motors | Polymarket | No | – |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “General Motors / GM”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “General Motors / GM” at 4 of 6 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Oct 25, 2024 (67%), most recently on Oct 13, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “General Motors / GM” next time?
- 68%, from settlement history (n=6). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘General Motors / GM’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/general-motor-or-gm (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=general%20motor%20%2F%20gm · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP