Will Donald Trump say “Invest / Invested / Investment”?

As of Oct 25, 2026, Donald Trump said “Invest / Invested / Investment” at 18 of 27 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since May 14, 2026 (67%), most recently on Oct 7, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 49% (n=27, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 21, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.

49%from settlement history only · n=27counts: named speaker only
Last 10
4/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no yes no yes yes yes no no no
Streak
not said the last 3 times
Counts
named speaker only
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Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Donald Trump

Invest / Invested / Investment

Probability
49% · n=27
Settled
18/27 (67%)
Last 8 remarks
said in 0 of 8

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Donald TrumpspeakerDonald Trump: Midterm Rally in Georgia · Oct 24, 2026 · 47:23In transcript

…than two years, we secured commitments for 22.2 trillion dollars of new investments into the United States of America. The greatest amount of money ever…

Donald TrumpspeakerDonald Trump: Midterm Rally in Florida · Oct 23, 2026 · 35:00In transcript

…less than two years we secured commitments for $22.2 trillion of new investments into the United States of America. the greatest amount by far ever…

Donald TrumpspeakerDonald Trump: Midterm Rally in Iowa · Oct 22, 2026 · 41:38In transcript

…the hottest country anywhere in the world. We made the largest ever investment in the US armed forces, Joanie, and $1 trillion all made in…

Donald TrumpspeakerDonald Trump: Midterm Rally in South Carolina · Oct 21, 2026 · 29:07In transcript

…That'll be But we secured commitments for 22.2 trillion dollars in new investments coming into the United States. It's the greatest, the largest amount of…

What will Trump say during his rally in Georgia? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in Florida? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in Iowa? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his roundtable? · not said

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What will Trump say during his rally in South Carolina? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his announcement? · not said

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What will Trump say during his rally in North Carolina? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his announcement? · settled no

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What will Trump say during his rally in Kansas? · not listed

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What will Trump say this week? (October 12 - October 18) · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 32 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Oct 21, 2026Invest / Invested / InvestmentKalshiNo0
Oct 20, 2026Invest / Invested / InvestmentKalshiNo0
Oct 19, 2026Invest / Invested / InvestmentKalshiNo–
Oct 7, 2026Invest / Invested / InvestmentKalshiYes–
Oct 1, 2026Invest / Invested / InvestmentKalshiYes–
Sep 30, 2026Invest / Invested / InvestmentKalshiYes–
Sep 29, 2026Invest / Invested / InvestmentKalshiNo–
Sep 28, 2026Invest / Invested / InvestmentPolymarketYes–
Sep 28, 2026Invest / Invested / InvestmentKalshiYes–
Sep 24, 2026Invest / Invested / InvestmentKalshiNo–
Sep 24, 2026Invest / Invested / InvestmentKalshiNo–
Sep 22, 2026Invest / Invested / InvestmentPolymarketYes0 ✗ (our count disagrees with the settlement)
Sep 22, 2026Invest / Invested / InvestmentKalshiYes0 ✗ (our count disagrees with the settlement)
Sep 12, 2026Invest / Invested / InvestmentKalshiYes10
Sep 12, 2026Invest / Invested / InvestmentKalshiNo0
Sep 8, 2026Invest / Invested / InvestmentKalshiNo0
Aug 14, 2026Invest / Invested / InvestmentKalshiYes5
Aug 7, 2026Invest / Invested / InvestmentKalshiYes5
Jul 24, 2026Invest / Invested / InvestmentPolymarketYes2
Jul 24, 2026Invest / Invested / InvestmentKalshiYes2
Jul 23, 2026Invest / Invested / InvestmentPolymarketYes2
Jul 23, 2026Invest / Invested / InvestmentKalshiYes2
Jul 6, 2026Invest / Invested / InvestmentKalshiYes4
Jul 4, 2026Invest / Invested / InvestmentKalshiYes–
Jun 25, 2026Invest / Investment / InvestedKalshiYes2
Jun 24, 2026Invest / Invested / InvestmentKalshiYes–
Jun 17, 2026Invest / Invested / InvestmentKalshiYes14
Jun 17, 2026Invest / Invested / InvestmentKalshiNo0
May 19, 2026Invest / Invested / InvestmentKalshiYes–
May 15, 2026Invest / Invested / InvestmentKalshiYes–
May 14, 2026Invest / Invested / InvestmentKalshiYes–
Apr 13, 2026Invest / Invested / InvestmentKalshiVoid (did not qualify)–

Questions

How often does Donald Trump say “Invest / Invested / Investment”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Donald Trump said “Invest / Invested / Investment” at 18 of 27 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since May 14, 2026 (67%), most recently on Oct 7, 2026.
What is the probability Donald Trump says “Invest / Invested / Investment” next time?
49%, from settlement history (n=27). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Invest / Invested / Investment’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/invest-or-invested-or-investment (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=invest%20%2F%20invested%20%2F%20investment · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP