Will Donald Trump say “Million / Billion” 15+ times?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Million / Billion” 15+ times at 3 of 3 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Feb 20, 2025 (100%), most recently on Aug 7, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 47% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 21, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (15+, named speaker only) in 1.
- Last 10
- 3/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 3 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Million / Billion 15+ times
- Probability
- 47% · n=3
- Settled
- 3/3 (100%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 1 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…most votes, more votes than ever gotten by any political candidate by millions. Millions and millions. Thank you. And I just look at this group…
…American history, the worst trade deficit in American history. They allowed 25 million people to pour across our borders from all over the world. It…
…or cyber attacks. It's pretty amazing. Americans reported losing more than $20 billion to cyber enabled crimes, and this is just what's reported. So, the…
…years ago, the worst trade deficit in American history. They allowed 25 million people to pour across our borders from all over the world. And
…lovely community from Somalia, lovely country -- in Minneapolis, Minnesota, was stealing billions and billions of dollars, taxpayer money, through fraudulent childcare centers and other…
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 7, 2026 | Million / Billion 15+ times |  Polymarket | Yes | 20 |
| Apr 14, 2025 | Million / Billion 15+ times | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Feb 20, 2025 | Million/Billion 15+ times | Polymarket | Yes | – |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Million / Billion 15+ times”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Million / Billion” 15+ times at 3 of 3 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Feb 20, 2025 (100%), most recently on Aug 7, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Million / Billion 15+ times” next time?
- 47%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Million / Billion 15+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/billion-or-million-15plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=billion%20%2F%20million%20%2815%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP