Will Donald Trump say “America / American”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “America / American” at 3 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jun 21, 2025 (100%), most recently on Aug 7, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 49% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 21, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2.
- Last 10
- 3/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 3 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
America / American
- Probability
- 49% · n=3
- Settled
- 3/3 (100%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 2 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…please. In this election, the Democrat party has nominated the most extreme anti-American radicals ever to seek office, including far-left lunatic. I mean, I couldn't…
…is going to be a continuation of the US Senate and elect America first Republicans all up and down the line. We have a lot…
…cyber crime perpetrated by fraudsters, hackers and scammers who try to steal Americans' money, prey on senior citizens, exploit children and young people through fraud,…
…great. And we're going to elect a Republican House, a Republican Senate, America First Patriots up and down the line. We have them all standing…
…off is a direct threat to the radical left's effort to turn America into a third world country ruled by people who hate America. No,…
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 7, 2026 | America / American |  Kalshi | Yes | 16 |
| Feb 24, 2026 | America / American |  Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Jun 21, 2025 | America/American | Kalshi | Yes | – |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “America / American”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “America / American” at 3 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jun 21, 2025 (100%), most recently on Aug 7, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “America / American” next time?
- 49%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘America / American’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/america-or-american (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=america%20%2F%20american · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP