Will Donald Trump say “MAGA / Make America Great Again”?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Donald Trump said “MAGA / Make America Great Again” at 54 of 104 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Apr 2, 2025 (52%), most recently on Oct 2, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 43% (n=104, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 rallies we have transcripts for (Aug 24, 2026 – Oct 25, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 7. 1 later rally without a transcript yet (Oct 26, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 3/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no no no no no yes no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
MAGA / Make America Great Again
- Probability
- 43% · n=104
- Settled
- 54/104 (52%)
- Last 8 rallies
- said in 7 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
anywhere. Not only make America great again. It's very simple. Very early, very simple. Make America. There's never been anything like it. There's never been…
…strong again, proud again, safe again, and most importantly, we will make America great again. Thank you. Thank you. Thank you. God bless you. God…
…again, healthy again, strong again, PROUD AGAIN, SAFE AGAIN. And most importantly, we will make America great again. Thank you very much, Florida. Thank you.
…again. We will make America safe again. And most importantly, we will make America great again. Thank you, Iowa. Thank you. God bless you all.
…science. It's 49 percent less. If I can get my voters -- MAGA, Republicans, whatever you want to call them, if they get out to…
Every settled listing
newest first · 60 shown
Kalshi
PolymarketQuestions
- How often does Donald Trump say “MAGA / Make America Great Again”?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, Donald Trump said “MAGA / Make America Great Again” at 54 of 104 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Apr 2, 2025 (52%), most recently on Oct 2, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “MAGA / Make America Great Again” next time?
- 43%, from settlement history (n=104). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘MAGA / Make America Great Again’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/maga-or-make-america-great-again (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=maga%20%2F%20make%20america%20great%20again · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP