Will Donald Trump say “Energy”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Energy” at 23 of 32 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Mar 7, 2025 (72%), most recently on Aug 7, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 53% (n=32, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 21, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1.
- Last 10
- 9/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes no yes yes yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 5 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Energy
- Probability
- 53% · n=32
- Settled
- 23/32 (72%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 1 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…never seen anything like it. And you know, they talk about the energy. They talk about the energy in the Democrats, but you know, it's…
…power, they gave us the worst inflation in American history, the highest energy prices in American history, the worst trade deficit in American history. They…
…power, they gave us the worst inflation in American history, the highest energy prices in American history. And by the way, this is two years…
…powerful on earth. Our technology is second to none and we are leading in virtually everything. Our energy is fueling the planet. America is rising.
Every settled listing
newest first · 33 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 7, 2026 | Energy |  Kalshi | Yes | 2 |
| Mar 9, 2026 | Energy |  Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Jan 10, 2026 | Energy | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Dec 2, 2025 | Energy | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Nov 7, 2025 | Energy | Kalshi | No | – |
| Nov 6, 2025 | Energy | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Nov 6, 2025 | Energy | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Nov 4, 2025 | Energy | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Nov 4, 2025 | Energy | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Oct 29, 2025 | Energy | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Oct 28, 2025 | Energy | Kalshi | No | – |
| Oct 27, 2025 | Energy | Kalshi | No | – |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Energy | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Oct 22, 2025 | Energy | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Energy | Kalshi | No | – |
| Sep 18, 2025 | Energy | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Aug 25, 2025 | Energy | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Aug 19, 2025 | Energy | Kalshi | No | – |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Energy | Kalshi | No | – |
| Aug 15, 2025 | Energy | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Aug 8, 2025 | Energy | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Aug 5, 2025 | Energy | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Jul 30, 2025 | Energy | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Jul 22, 2025 | Energy | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Jul 22, 2025 | Energy | Kalshi | No | – |
| Jul 15, 2025 | Energy | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Jun 6, 2025 | Energy | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Jun 5, 2025 | Energy | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| May 30, 2025 | Energy | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| May 13, 2025 | Energy | Kalshi | No | – |
| Mar 13, 2025 | Energy | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Mar 7, 2025 | Energy | Polymarket | No | – |
| Mar 7, 2025 | Energy | Kalshi | No | – |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Energy”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Energy” at 23 of 32 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Mar 7, 2025 (72%), most recently on Aug 7, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Energy” next time?
- 53%, from settlement history (n=32). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Energy’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/energy (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=energy · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP