Will Donald Trump say “Communist / Communism”?

As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Communist / Communism” at 56 of 114 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Nov 6, 2025 (49%), most recently on Sep 30, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 45% (n=114, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 8 rallies we have transcripts for (Aug 10, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 6.

45%from settlement history only · n=114Next: Rally, Oct 25, 2026 · counts: named speaker only
Last 10
3/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no no no no yes no yes no
Streak
not said last time
Counts
named speaker only
Market
96¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
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Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Donald Trump

Communist / Communism

Probability
45% · n=114
Settled
56/114 (49%)
Last 8 rallies
said in 6 of 8

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Donald TrumpspeakerDonald Trump: Midterm Rally in Florida · Oct 23, 2026 · 7:35In transcript

…But Nixon is a card carrying member of the Democrat Socialists of America, the Communist, whose official platform calls for abolishing the US Senate, abolishing

Donald TrumpspeakerDonald Trump: Midterm Rally in Iowa · Oct 22, 2026 · 7:00In transcript

…and she's fantastic, actually. And if you don't if you don't want communists controlling the US Senate, which is between How about the gentleman from…

Donald TrumpspeakerDonald Trump: Midterm Rally in South Carolina · Oct 21, 2026 · 1:12:03In transcript

…election is very simple. You can vote for the radical left democrat communist to loot your wealth, raise your taxes by $5 trillion, annihilate your…

Donald TrumpspeakerRemarks to the United Nations General Assembly in New York City · Sep 22, 2026 · 24:51In transcript

…also seeking a fundamental change in the situation in Cuba where the communist regime is under great pressure, the biggest pressure they've ever been under.…

What will Trump say during his rally in Florida? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in Iowa? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his roundtable? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in South Carolina? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his announcement? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in North Carolina? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his announcement? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in Kansas? · not listed

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What will Trump say this week? (October 12 - October 18) · not listed

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What will Trump post this week? (October 12 - October 18) · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 60 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Oct 15, 2026Communist / CommunismKalshiNo–
Sep 30, 2026Communist / CommunismPolymarketYes–
Sep 30, 2026Communist / CommunismKalshiYes–
Sep 24, 2026Communist / CommunismPolymarketNo–
Sep 22, 2026Communist / CommunismPolymarketYes4
Sep 22, 2026Communist / CommunismKalshiYes4
Sep 20, 2026Communist / CommunismPolymarketNo0
Sep 17, 2026Communist / CommunismPolymarketNo0
Sep 17, 2026Communist / CommunismKalshiNo0
Sep 17, 2026Communist / CommunismKalshiNo–
Sep 17, 2026Communist / CommunismKalshiNo0
Sep 16, 2026Communist / CommunismKalshiYes0 ✗ (our count disagrees with the settlement)
Sep 13, 2026Communist / CommunismPolymarketYes1
Sep 12, 2026Communist / CommunismKalshiYes3
Sep 11, 2026Communist / CommunismPolymarketNo0
Sep 11, 2026Communist / CommunismKalshiNo–
Sep 10, 2026Communist / CommunismKalshiNo0
Sep 10, 2026Communist / CommunismKalshiYes–
Sep 10, 2026Communist / CommunismKalshiYes4
Sep 9, 2026Communist / CommunismKalshiYes15
Sep 8, 2026Communist / CommunismKalshiNo0
Sep 6, 2026Communist / CommunismPolymarketYes4
Aug 31, 2026Communism / CommunistKalshiNo–
Aug 30, 2026Communist / CommunismPolymarketYes1
Aug 30, 2026Communist / CommunismKalshiYes–
Aug 25, 2026Communist / CommunismKalshiNo–
Aug 24, 2026Communist / CommunismKalshiNo0
Aug 24, 2026Communist / CommunismKalshiYes1
Aug 23, 2026Communist / CommunismPolymarketYes2
Aug 21, 2026Communist / CommunismPolymarketYes13
Aug 21, 2026Communist / CommunismKalshiYes13
Aug 14, 2026Communist / CommunismPolymarketYes8
Aug 14, 2026Communist / CommunismKalshiYes8
Aug 13, 2026Communist / CommunismKalshiNo–
Aug 11, 2026Communist / CommunismKalshiYes–
Aug 10, 2026Communist / CommunismPolymarketNo0
Aug 10, 2026Communist / CommunismKalshiYes1
Aug 10, 2026Communist / CommunismKalshiYes5
Aug 10, 2026Communist / CommunismKalshiNo0
Aug 6, 2026Communist / CommunismKalshiYes–
Aug 6, 2026Communist / CommunismKalshiNo0
Aug 5, 2026Communist / CommunismKalshiYes23
Aug 4, 2026Communist / CommunismKalshiNo–
Aug 4, 2026Communist / CommunismKalshiYes–
Aug 3, 2026Communist / CommunismPolymarketYes8
Aug 3, 2026Communist / CommunismKalshiYes8
Jul 31, 2026Communist / CommunismKalshiNo0
Jul 30, 2026Communist / CommunismKalshiNo0
Jul 29, 2026Communist / CommunismPolymarketYes–
Jul 29, 2026Communist / CommunismKalshiYes4
Jul 29, 2026Communist / CommunismKalshiNo–
Jul 29, 2026Communist / CommunismKalshiNo0
Jul 28, 2026Communist / CommunismPolymarketNo–
Jul 28, 2026Communist / CommunismPolymarketYes2
Jul 28, 2026Communist / CommunismKalshiVoid (did not qualify)–
Jul 28, 2026Communist / CommunismKalshiVoid (did not qualify)–
Jul 28, 2026Communist / CommunismKalshiYes2
Jul 28, 2026Communist / CommunismKalshiNo–
Jul 27, 2026Communist / CommunismKalshiYes13
Jul 24, 2026Communist / CommunismKalshiNo0

Questions

How often does Donald Trump say “Communist / Communism”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Communist / Communism” at 56 of 114 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Nov 6, 2025 (49%), most recently on Sep 30, 2026.
What is the probability Donald Trump says “Communist / Communism” next time?
45%, from settlement history (n=114). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Communist / Communism’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/communism-or-communist (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=communism%20%2F%20communist · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP