Will JD Vance say “Oil / Gas / Gasoline”?

As of Oct 26, 2026, JD Vance said “Oil / Gas / Gasoline” at 15 of 36 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Apr 14, 2026 (42%), most recently on Oct 19, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 38% (n=36, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 5 transcripts we have, of any kind (5 press briefings; Oct 1, 2025 – Sep 3, 2026), since fewer than 2 rallies have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 3. No rallies among them yet.

38%from settlement history only · n=36Next: Rally, Oct 26, 2026 · counts: named speaker only
Last 10
3/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no yes no no yes yes
Streak
said the last 2 times
Counts
named speaker only
Market
34¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=jd-vance&word=gas%20%2F%20gasoline%20%2F%20oil

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Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

JD Vance

Oil / Gas / Gasoline

Probability
38% · n=36
Settled
15/36 (42%)
Last 5 transcripts
said in 3 of 5

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have (5 press briefings); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

JD VancespeakerVice President JD Vance Briefs Members of the Media, Sep. 3, 2026 · Sep 3, 2026 · 1:44In transcript

…thing I want to talk about a little bit is the Venezuela oil deal, which I know some of you will have questions on, but…

JD VancespeakerVice President JD Vance Briefs Members of the Media, Jun. 18, 2026 · Jun 18, 2026 · 0:23In transcript

…real fruits for the American people. Last night, 12.5 million barrels of oil went through the Strait of Hormuz; that is a high since the…

JD VancespeakerVice President JD Vance Briefs Members of the Media, May 19, 2026 · May 19, 2026 · 42:41In transcript

…very aware, that because of what's going on in the Middle East, gas prices have gone up, and a lot of Americans are struggling because…

What will JD Vance say during his fraud press conference? · not listed

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What will JD Vance say during his announcement? · not listed

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What will JD Vance say during his rally in North Carolina? · settled yes

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We don’t have this transcript yet.

What will JD Vance say during his CBS Town Hall? · settled yes

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We don’t have this transcript yet.

What will JD Vance say during his rally in Michigan? · settled no

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What will JD Vance say during his rally in Ohio? · settled no

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What will JD Vance say during his rally in Alaska? · settled yes

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We don’t have this transcript yet.

What will JD Vance say during Fox News: Hannity? · settled no

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What will JD Vance say during his Midterm Rally in Florida? · settled no

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What will JD Vance say during his Midterm Rally in Texas? · settled no

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Every settled listing

newest first · 41 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Oct 19, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshiYes
Oct 17, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshiYes
Oct 15, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshiNo
Oct 9, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshiNo
Oct 5, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshiYes
Oct 1, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshiNo
Oct 1, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshiNo
Sep 30, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshiNo
Sep 21, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshiNo
Sep 18, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshiNo
Sep 14, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshiNo
Sep 14, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshiNo
Sep 9, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshiNo
Sep 3, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshiYes
Aug 31, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolinePolymarketYes
Aug 31, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshiYes
Aug 24, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolinePolymarketNo
Aug 24, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshiNo
Aug 21, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolinePolymarketNo
Aug 21, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshiNo
Aug 13, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshiYes
Aug 8, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshiYes
Aug 5, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshiYes
Jul 8, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshiYes
Jun 30, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshiYes
Jun 17, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshiYes
Jun 17, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshiYes
Jun 16, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshiNo
Jun 16, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshiNo
Jun 16, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshiYes
Jun 15, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshiYes
Jun 14, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshiNo
Jun 8, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshiNo
May 29, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshiVoid (did not qualify)
May 18, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshiNo
May 16, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshiNo
May 14, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshiYes
May 5, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshiNo
Apr 30, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshiVoid (did not qualify)
Apr 29, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshiNo
Apr 14, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshiNo

Questions

How often does JD Vance say “Oil / Gas / Gasoline”?
As of Oct 26, 2026, JD Vance said “Oil / Gas / Gasoline” at 15 of 36 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Apr 14, 2026 (42%), most recently on Oct 19, 2026.
What is the probability JD Vance says “Oil / Gas / Gasoline” next time?
38%, from settlement history (n=36). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “JD Vance: ‘Oil / Gas / Gasoline’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/jd-vance/words/gas-or-gasoline-or-oil (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=jd-vance&word=gas%20%2F%20gasoline%20%2F%20oil · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=jd-vance&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP