Will Donald Trump say “Soaking Wet”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Soaking Wet” at 1 of 3 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Jul 31, 2026 (33%), most recently on Sep 10, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 46% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches; Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1. 1 later appearance without a transcript yet (Oct 24, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 1/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Soaking Wet
- Probability
- 46% · n=3
- Settled
- 1/3 (33%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 1 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…the heaviest rainfall they've had in 10 years, and the land was soaking wet; it was like quicksand. most people don't remember, but I do,…
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 30, 2026 | Soaking Wet |  Polymarket | Yes | 1 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Soaking Wet | Polymarket | No | – (settled no · not found in what we could read (25 of 36 known appearances transcribed)) |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Soaking Wet | Polymarket | No | – (settled no · not found in what we could read (39 of 53 known appearances transcribed)) |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Soaking Wet”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Soaking Wet” at 1 of 3 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Jul 31, 2026 (33%), most recently on Sep 10, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Soaking Wet” next time?
- 46%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Soaking Wet’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/soaking-wet (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=soaking%20wet · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP