Will Donald Trump say “Slob”?

As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Slob” at 3 of 3 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Aug 31, 2026 (100%), most recently on Oct 15, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 64% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches; Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0. 1 later appearance without a transcript yet (Oct 24, 2026) is not counted.

64%from settlement history only · n=3Next: Monthly window, Oct 31, 2026 · counts: named speaker only
Last 10
3/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes
Streak
said the last 3 times
Counts
named speaker only
Market
99¢ Polymarket (may be delayed)
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Donald Trump

Slob

Probability
64% · n=3
Settled
3/3 (100%)
Last 8 transcripts
said in 0 of 8

Next listing counts: named speaker only

What will Trump say during his rally in Florida? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Trump say during his rally in Iowa? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Trump say during his roundtable? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Trump say during his rally in South Carolina? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Trump say during his announcement? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Trump say during his rally in North Carolina? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Trump say during his announcement? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Trump say during his rally in Kansas? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Trump say this week? (October 12 - October 18) · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Trump post this week? (October 12 - October 18) · not listed

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 3 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Oct 31, 2026SlobPolymarketYes– (settled yes · not found in what we could read (5 of 31 known appearances transcribed))
Sep 30, 2026SlobPolymarketYes2
Aug 31, 2026SlobPolymarketYes2

Questions

How often does Donald Trump say “Slob”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Slob” at 3 of 3 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Aug 31, 2026 (100%), most recently on Oct 15, 2026.
What is the probability Donald Trump says “Slob” next time?
64%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Slob’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/slob (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=slob · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP