Donald Trump: Remarks, Aug 8, 2025
Polymarket What will Trump say during Armenia Prime Minister events on August 8?
Markets
13 words · 4 settled yes- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| India / Pakistan | Yes | 59%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Million / Billion / Trillion 10+ times | Yes | 45%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Armenia / Azerbaijan 12+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Obliterated / Obliteration | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Apple | No | 48%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Hell 2+ times | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Joe / Biden 5+ times | No | 44%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Fake news | No | 43%n=18 from settlement history | – |
| Tariff 7+ times | No | 34%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Sanction | No | 34%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Egg | No | 33%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| Friend of mine | No | 32%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | No | 7%n=105 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-trump-say-during-armenia-prime-minister-events-on-august-8 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP