Donald Trump: Remarks, Jun 27, 2025
Kalshi What will Trump say during his visit with Leaders of the DRC and Rwanda?
Markets
26 words · 9 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Biden | Yes | 64%n=32 from settlement history | – |
| Peace | Yes | 49%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| India | Yes | 44%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Israel | Yes | 43%n=33 from settlement history | – |
| Pakistan | Yes | 42%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Iran | Yes | 40%n=14 from settlement history | – |
| Agreement | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Humanitarian | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Ceasefire | Yes | 31%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Fake News | No | 37%n=13 from settlement history | – |
| Bukavu | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Child Labor | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Cobalt | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Coltan | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Diamond | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Disarmament | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Goma | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| M23 | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Nobel | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Stabilization | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Copper | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| CNN | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Mineral | No | 33%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Egg | No | 33%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Refugee | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Security | No | 30%n=5 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXTRUMPMENTION-25JUN27 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP