Donald Trump: Remarks, Apr 16, 2025
Polymarket What will Trump say during Easter Dinner on April 16?
Markets
13 words · 7 settled yes- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beautiful | Yes | 46%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Peace | Yes | 45%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| God 3+ times | Yes | 42%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Easter 2+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Faith | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Jesus 3+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Resurrection | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Tariff 3+ times | No | 50%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Joe / Biden 3+ times | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Egg | No | 49%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Pope | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Middle East | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Jew / Jewish | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-trump-say-during-easter-dinner-on-april-16 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP