Donald Trump: Remarks, Nov 21, 2025
Polymarket What will Trump say during Mamdani events on November 21?
Markets
21 words · 4 settled yes- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Grocery | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Little / Liddle | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Affordability | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| ICE | Yes | 22%n=18 from settlement history | – |
| Hell | No | 51%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Queens | No | 47%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| "9/11" | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Abolish | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Adams | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Bus | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| DSA | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Fred | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Hotel | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Working Class | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Giuliani | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Cuomo | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Communist / Communism | No | 37%n=14 from settlement history | – |
| Marx / Marxist / Marxism | No | 37%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Strokes | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Egg | No | 33%n=13 from settlement history | – |
| Epstein | No | 28%n=36 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
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