Donald Trump: Rally, May 30, 2025
Polymarket What will Trump say at Pittsburgh rally on May 30?
Markets
22 words · 5 settled yes- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mon Valley | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Shinzo | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Steel mill | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Baby | Yes | 48%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Tariff 10+ times | Yes | 47%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Transgender | No | 57%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Deport | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Egg | No | 54%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| China 15+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| No | –new new word, no probability yet | – | |
| Hell 7+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Japan 5+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Laughingstock | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| West Virginia | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Alaska | No | 47%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Good looking | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Capone | No | 45%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Coal | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| NAFTA | No | 41%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 32%n=33 from settlement history | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | No | 13%n=93 from settlement history | – |
| Deficit | open | – | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-trump-say-at-pittsburgh-rally-on-may-30 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP