Zohran Mamdani: Remarks, Feb 25, 2026
Kalshi What will Mamdani say during his announcement?
Markets
15 words · 9 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Safe / Safer / Safety | Yes | 75%n=38 from settlement history | – |
| Emergency | Yes | 67%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| NYPD / FDNY | Yes | 59%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Yes | 48%n=28 from settlement history | – |
| ID / Identification | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Teacher | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Hochul / Governor | Yes | 37%n=33 from settlement history | – |
| Working People / Working Class / Working Families | Yes | 36%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| Trump / President | Yes | 32%n=19 from settlement history | – |
| Sidewalk | No | 56%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Plow / Plowing | No | 53%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Snow Day | No | 35%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Economy / Economic | No | 31%n=46 from settlement history | – |
| Cleanup / Clean Up | No | 27%n=18 from settlement history | – |
| Adams / Previous Administration | No | 25%n=18 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:05 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXMAMDANIMENTION-26MAR10 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP