Zohran Mamdani: Press conference, Feb 23, 2026
Kalshi What will Mamdani say during his press conference?
Markets
17 words · 11 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Safe / Safer / Safety | Yes | 69%n=36 from settlement history | – |
| Emergency | Yes | 60%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Homeless / Shelter | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| NYPD / FDNY | Yes | 51%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Plow / Plowing | Yes | 47%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Snow | Yes | 47%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Sidewalk | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Travel | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Snow Day | Yes | 36%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Blizzard | Yes | 28%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Cleanup / Clean Up | Yes | 26%n=16 from settlement history | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | No | 55%n=26 from settlement history | – |
| Property Tax | No | 51%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Hochul / Governor | No | 42%n=31 from settlement history | – |
| Trump / President | No | 41%n=17 from settlement history | – |
| Economy / Economic | No | 40%n=44 from settlement history | – |
| Adams / Previous Administration | No | 27%n=16 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:05 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXMAMDANIMENTION-26MAR08 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP