Will Kathy Hochul say “Buffalo”?

As of Oct 24, 2026, Kathy Hochul said “Buffalo” at 24 of 43 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 30, 2026 (56%), most recently on Jun 23, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 46% (n=43, from settlement history), not a forecast.

46%from settlement history only · n=43counts: named speaker only
Last 10
4/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no yes no yes no no yes no no
Streak
not said the last 2 times
Counts
named speaker only
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=kathy-hochul&word=buffalo

Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Kathy Hochul

Buffalo

Probability
46% · n=43
Settled
24/43 (56%)

Next listing counts: named speaker only

We don’t have transcripts for Kathy Hochul yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will Kathy Hochul say during her announcement? · settled no

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What will Kathy Hochul say during her announcement? · settled yes

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What will Kathy Hochul say during her Let Them Build announcement? · settled no

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What will Kathy Hochul say during her announcement? · settled no

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What will Kathy Hochul say during her announcement? · settled yes

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What will Kathy Hochul say during her announcement? · settled no

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What will Kathy Hochul say during her announcement? · settled yes

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What will Kathy Hochul say during her announcement? · settled no

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What will Kathy Hochul say during her World Cup announcement? · settled yes

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 43 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Jul 2, 2026BuffaloKalshiNo
Jun 24, 2026BuffaloKalshiNo
Jun 23, 2026BuffaloKalshiYes
Jun 17, 2026BuffaloKalshiNo
Jun 13, 2026BuffaloKalshiNo
Jun 12, 2026BuffaloKalshiYes
Jun 10, 2026BuffaloKalshiNo
Jun 9, 2026BuffaloKalshiYes
Jun 5, 2026BuffaloKalshiNo
Jun 3, 2026BuffaloKalshiYes
Jun 1, 2026BuffaloKalshiNo
May 29, 2026BuffaloKalshiYes
May 27, 2026BuffaloKalshiNo
May 11, 2026BuffaloKalshiNo
Apr 29, 2026BuffaloKalshiNo
Apr 22, 2026BuffaloKalshiYes
Apr 21, 2026BuffaloKalshiYes
Apr 20, 2026BuffaloKalshiYes
Apr 9, 2026BuffaloKalshiNo
Apr 8, 2026BuffaloKalshiYes
Apr 6, 2026BuffaloKalshiYes
Apr 2, 2026BuffaloKalshiNo
Mar 25, 2026BuffaloKalshiYes
Mar 24, 2026BuffaloKalshiYes
Mar 23, 2026BuffaloKalshiYes
Mar 18, 2026BuffaloKalshiNo
Mar 15, 2026BuffaloKalshiYes
Mar 13, 2026BuffaloKalshiYes
Mar 6, 2026BuffaloKalshiNo
Mar 5, 2026BuffaloKalshiNo
Mar 5, 2026BuffaloKalshiYes
Mar 4, 2026BuffaloKalshiYes
Mar 3, 2026BuffaloKalshiNo
Feb 26, 2026BuffaloKalshiYes
Feb 21, 2026BuffaloKalshiYes
Feb 18, 2026BuffaloKalshiYes
Feb 17, 2026BuffaloKalshiYes
Feb 14, 2026BuffaloKalshiNo
Feb 12, 2026BuffaloKalshiYes
Feb 10, 2026BuffaloKalshiYes
Feb 6, 2026BuffaloKalshiYes
Feb 4, 2026BuffaloKalshiNo
Jan 30, 2026BuffaloKalshiNo

Questions

How often does Kathy Hochul say “Buffalo”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Kathy Hochul said “Buffalo” at 24 of 43 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 30, 2026 (56%), most recently on Jun 23, 2026.
What is the probability Kathy Hochul says “Buffalo” next time?
46%, from settlement history (n=43). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Kathy Hochul: ‘Buffalo’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/kathy-hochul/words/buffalo (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=kathy-hochul&word=buffalo · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=kathy-hochul&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP