Kathy Hochul: Remarks, Jun 5, 2026
Kalshi What will Kathy Hochul say during her announcement?
Markets
10 words · 4 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trump / President | Yes | 65%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Mayor / Mamdani | Yes | 59%n=35 from settlement history | – |
| World Cup | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Knicks | Yes | 43%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Safe / Safer / Safety | No | 70%n=14 from settlement history | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | No | 70%n=33 from settlement history | – |
| Buffalo | No | 56%n=34 from settlement history | – |
| Childcare | No | 52%n=19 from settlement history | – |
| Economy / Economic | No | 43%n=35 from settlement history | – |
| Billionaire | No | 14%n=10 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXHOCHULMENTION-26JUN05 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP