Kathy Hochul: Remarks, Feb 10, 2026
Kalshi Mention: Kathy Hochul at Roundtable
Markets
12 words · 8 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Crime / Criminal | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Immigrant / Immigration | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Constitutional / Unconstitutional | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Minnesota / Minneapolis | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Warrant | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| ICE / National Guard | Yes | 56%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Buffalo | Yes | 50%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Trump | Yes | 46%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Mayor / Mamdani | No | 83%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | No | 83%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Economy / Economic | No | 70%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Violence / Violent | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXHOCHULMENTION-26FEB10 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP