Kathy Hochul: Remarks, Mar 5, 2026
Kalshi What will Kathy Hochul say during her announcement?
Markets
12 words · 6 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mayor / Mamdani | Yes | 67%n=13 from settlement history | – |
| Buffalo | Yes | 66%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Yes | 65%n=13 from settlement history | – |
| Budget / Deficit | Yes | 57%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Trump | Yes | 38%n=14 from settlement history | – |
| Economy / Economic | Yes | 31%n=13 from settlement history | – |
| Immigrant / Immigration | No | 70%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Hunger / Hungry | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 63%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Eligible / Eligibility | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Attendance | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Inflation | No | 37%n=9 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:05 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXHOCHULMENTION-26MAR12 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP