Kathy Hochul: Remarks, Feb 6, 2026
Kalshi Mention: Kathy Hochul makes a Public Safety Announcement
Markets
9 words · 6 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mayor / Mamdani | Yes | 80%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Yes | 80%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Crime / Criminal | Yes | 74%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Invest / Investment / Invested | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Snow | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Buffalo | Yes | 40%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Economy / Economic | No | 83%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| ICE / National Guard | No | 67%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Trump | No | 51%n=7 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXHOCHULMENTION-26FEB06 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP